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Updated Nov 6, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
LeadingXLY · XLP · XLE · XLF · XLV · XLB
ImprovingXLI · XLRE · XLU
WeakeningNone
LaggingXLK · XLC
Data through Nov 6, 2026
through June 2026, with dividendsYearly average over5 years+13.52%10 years+15.46%30 years+10.30%
November+1.61%
Average, up in 72% of years
StrongestJanuary +1.67%
WeakestOctober +0.22%
How I Invest My Own Money
Logic Defensive
Logic Defensive is the rules-based ETF portfolio I trade with my own money. It holds an S&P 500 ETF (SPY or VOO) and moves into a Treasury bill ETF (SGOV or BOXX) when the trend turns down, aiming for returns close to the S&P 500 with much smaller drops.
| Measure | Logic Defensive* | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Annual return (CAGR) | +12.09% | +10.99% |
| Max drawdown | −18.90% | −55.25% |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.88 | 0.41 |
Logic Defensive $9,604 S&P 500 $7,893
*Simulated since 2007, live trading since 2026. Logic Defensive figures leave out dividends; S&P 500 figures include them. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not investment advice.
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